Advierten que en los primeros seis meses la inflaciA?n alcanzarA? un 12%

SegA?n el A?ltimo informe de la consultora econA?mica Ecolatina, la inflaciA?n acumularAi??a casi 12% en el primer semestre del aAi??o, poniendo en duda el cumplimiento de la meta oficial del 15% para todo el aAi??o.

“La inflaciA?n del segundo trimestre serA? menor a la del primero. Sin embargo, se mantendrA? estable respecto a igual perAi??odo de 2017, por lo que la suba de precios rozarA? 12% en el primer semestre de ambos aAi??os”, seAi??alaron desde Ecolatina.

Durante el primer trimestre de 2018, la inflaciA?n superA? el 6%, ubicA?ndose en niveles similares a los del aAi??o pasado. Entre las principales causas, la consultora identificA? el avance del dA?lar, la liberalizaciA?n del mercado de combustibles y los ajustes tarifarios.

El informe asegura que reciAi??n en el perAi??odo julio-diciembre retornarAi??a el proceso desinflacionario, para cuando estiman que la suba de precios pasarAi??a de 11,5% en la A?ltima mitad del aAi??o pasado a 8% en el segundo semestre de 2018.

“Como resultado de esta dinA?mica, la inflaciA?n superarA? este aAi??o nuevamente el 20%. En consecuencia, el Banco Central volverA? a incumplir su meta corregida, lo que imposibilitarA? que la polAi??tica monetaria se relaje significativamente, al menos hasta 2019”, advirtieron.

Ante este escenario, se espera que reciAi??n en 2019 la inflaciA?n perfore el piso del 20%. 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